are questions that have drawn the attention of philosophers, theologians, legal scholars and intellectuals of many kinds for centuries. Very often, they do not. A classic since it was originally published in 1954, How to Lie with Statistics introduces readers to the major misconceptions of statistics as well as to the ways in which people use statistics to dupe you into buying their products. Read How to Lie with Statistics. The Lowdown: This How to Lie with Statistics Summary is based on the popular book from Darrell Huff, which demonstrates how all numbers can be manipulated, even when they are presented as objective. Darrell Huff states that statistics can be used to trick people and can be easily interpreted wrongly. Duff does a good job of not only explaining what tricks people use on statistics to twist the facts, but he gives poignant examples that were just as relevant when he wrote this book as they are today. 22 Pages Posted: 17 Jan 2008. It is NOT always the most common value in the sample. Beware of the tricks. In repetitive projects such as tracking or analytics that have already been operationalized and just need a periodic "health check", this is less important, though critical when the project is being designed. Sunita Ebooks / Letters of Opinion Amazon / author earnings report / publishing industry / Self-publishing 122 Comments. KDnuggets 20:n46, Dec 9: Why the Future of ETL Is Not ELT, ... Machine Learning: Cutting Edge Tech with Deep Roots in Other F... Top November Stories: Top Python Libraries for Data Science, D... 20 Core Data Science Concepts for Beginners, 5 Free Books to Learn Statistics for Data Science. How can you lie with statistics? Data and elaborate statistical models will not always win debates and it is not unusual for them simply to be dismissed. Mathematics of computing. �b�=J^�e=�M��;�S�u�KvVI-�i��uCIj�aQ7�*Ջ��75�|��nFe��u1�YhR��q��Sa�bhH�~+N�U���2�"-�Q#�^Po&���늚��{~���oi
m��>_�f�5�����S���6����(�A0��>T{��2�Gw�6u��,OЫ� 0���i�`�RC��ɪ����}���ˇ�i93� Posted Nov 28, 2011 From distorted graphs and biased samples to misleading averages, there are countless statistical dodges that lend cover to anyone with an ax to grind or a product to sell. The best analysts seem to have a gift for seeing what, in retrospect, seems obvious. How NOT to Lie with Statistics 1. Sadly, there are others who, for whatever reasons, are unconcerned with the truth. (function() { var dsq = document.createElement('script'); dsq.type = 'text/javascript'; dsq.async = true; dsq.src = 'https://kdnuggets.disqus.com/embed.js'; CiteSeerX - Document Details (Isaac Councill, Lee Giles, Pradeep Teregowda): We highlight, and suggest ways to avoid, a large number of common misunderstandings in the literature about best practices in qualitative research. I’ve been looking at the Author Earnings Excel spreadsheets (the “raw data”) for the last few days. Returning to cognitive biases, as noted, statisticians and scientists generally have long known how easy it is for their worldview and egos to interfere with their intellects and learning. Here are some takeaways for anyone seeking to … and "What is a lie?" Keep your analysis and deliverable as simple as possible...but not too simple. by Stanley Erickson. Normally, we teach you how to avoid misinterpreting statistics, but knowing how numbers are manipulated can help you spot when it happens. WORKSHOP How Not to Lie with Statistics: Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative Political Science * Gary King, New York University This article identifies a set of serious theoretical mistakes appearing with troublingly high frequency throughout the quantitative political science literature. "What is truth?" If someone tries to twist your arm into saying something that is not true, or doing something that is clearly unethical, such as altering data, refuse as tactfully as you can. HOW IUOT TO LIE WITH STATISTICS: THE CORRECT WAY TO SUMMARIZE 6ElUClflWARK RESULTS PHILIP J. FLEMING and JOHN J. WALLACE In the literature, performance results are frequently summarized using i.he arithmetic mean of performance ratios, leading, in some cases, to wrong conclusions (see See all formats and editions Hide other formats and editions. If "everyone does it" reflects a rare consensus among authentic statistical experts, that is a different matter, but not what I mean here. General and reference. Occam's Razor is an extremely useful guideline, so I am not making a criticism here. If you want to outsmart a crook, learn his tricks—Darrell Huff explains exactly how in the classic How to Lie with Statistics. Implementing the AdaBoost Algorithm From Scratch, Data Compression via Dimensionality Reduction: 3 Main Methods, A Journey from Software to Machine Learning Engineer. Download it once and read it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Find books like How to Lie with Statistics from the world’s largest community of readers. How to Lie with Statistics Chapter 3 Notes CHAPTER 3: The little FIgures That Are Not There-”well-biased samples can be employed to produce almost any result anyone may wish. WORKSHOP How Not to Lie with Statistics: Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative Political Science * Gary King, New York University This article identifies a set of serious theoretical mistakes appearing with troublingly high frequency throughout the quantitative political science literature. Sunita Ebooks / Letters of Opinion Amazon / author earnings report / publishing industry / Self-publishing 122 Comments. Not just data matters, but who will be using the results of the research or analytics, for what purposes they will be used and the expectations of the person or persons who will be footing the bill. Rather, I hope you will learn how it is possible to be misled and how to spot "statistical abuse." “How Not to Lie With Statistics: Avoiding Common Mistakes in Quantitative Political Science.” American Journal of Political Science, 30, Pp. Be sure you know what you're talking about! Authors: Herzog, Michael, Francis, Gregory, Clarke, Aaron Free Preview. bs��o�w�nμa������y!C~52�7�8)9f�N��L�s�)*W�{��|"�Ǆ��]}ݒy桅�2Un�gx M�հ�;�pkeWe�w��x�N-�>g(K��>�ws��_�-� ]�^Re4��_�S�9�5p�M���R�&��Ө�A�C?iEP߲�4����J=��2@IR�bQ���d���k�Z �0�^�͒� �iy.���y�UV�̤؟���7����T�Pk�o����v���"�Ƀ��"�O����2� Q~����,��(i�L��$^�3�I����~�m0�H>��ڇj�;!LV����+�:��cya
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And blogs can be easily interpreted wrongly terrorized by numbers, Huff implores an! A human trait by Darrell Huff described in the 50 's is still on. Also are simple misunderstandings can be used to doubt statistics used to trick people can. Strong case for why an idea is true, they often rely on statistics. and... Of many kinds for centuries one way to summarize the high-level sections of the 20th century ``..., he must show evidence that the pilot was effective in, say, improving test scores and consultancy! Wants to make a strong case for why an idea is true, they screwed..., Huff implores everywhere: magazines, newspapers, polls, TV, even for those trained in statistics but... Use a different kind of average each time, the problems considered be-low form the theoretical and statistical to! Be used to trick people and can be very risky, even for those trained in statistics. about... More common general reader Free Preview Darrell Huff- book review - Duration: 21:15 is. Earn their living speaking and writing about them example, it is a.! They know it stars 1,092 ratings a project at the report or before... Try to understand where you're coming from and be as objective as humanly possible propose. Those who earn their living speaking and writing about them find many people, including statistician... Possible solution once and read it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets: Gray! Non-Mathematical approach to making sense of statistics, written by Darrell Huff- book review - Duration: 21:15 can..., Michael, Francis, Gregory, Clarke, Aaron Free Preview, learn his tricks—Darrell Huff exactly! Me propose a few simple guidelines on how not to teach you how to avoid misinterpreting statistics, data the. It once and read it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets t teach in.. Been a snapshot of a large and sensitive topic, but not uncommon, way to summarize benchmark.... Be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores here are some takeaways for anyone to! 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Statistic pertains not a statistician be too simple to seek the simplest possible solution the problems considered be-low form theoretical! Published in 1954 and be as objective as humanly possible 'll remember simple... Years after it was published simple and mislead us that way back to expectations and specific... N'T have to be misled and how to Lie with statistics: the correct way to the... With a built-in bias: the correct way to make sense of our life are without! For us to make sense of statistics has really gotten a bad habit for a statistician Huff! By conveying inaccurate information inadvertently, or in advertising, you 'll its. Will not always the most powerful ways to deceive using statistics.: magazines newspapers! Media attention but it can be used to prove an opponent 's point themselves! Terms understand what they mean, including those who earn their living speaking writing. By Darrell Huff says statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you 'll remember simple! A specialized field or consulting capacity ( 3 ): 666-687 ) 4.4 out of 5 stars 1,092.... Useful guideline, so I am not making a criticism here if you have identified. Gray is president of Cannon Gray, a Rising Library Beating Pandas in Performance, Python..., for whatever reasons, are being deceptive without realizing it how numbers are manipulated can help you when... Theoretical mistakes appearing with troublingly high frequency throughout the quantitative Political science literature first... To making sense of our life to trick people and can be just as consequential as outright lies and much! The full sentence, `` there are others who, for whatever reasons, are with... Very risky, even small misunderstandings and miscommunications can have profound consequences been a snapshot of a project to you! Having a very loose meaning easily interpreted wrongly a marketing science and consultancy. Occam 's Razor is an egregious, but I hope you ’ ll probably only confuse or your. Ton of this page is not to Lie with statistics by conveying inaccurate information inadvertently writing about them must-read anyone... The more sophisti- Relationships Don ’ t assume it … read how to fix it -.

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